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Exact post-selection inference, with application to the Lasso. (English) Zbl 1341.62061

Summary: We develop a general approach to valid inference after model selection. At the core of our framework is a result that characterizes the distribution of a post-selection estimator conditioned on the selection event. We specialize the approach to model selection by the lasso to form valid confidence intervals for the selected coefficients and test whether all relevant variables have been included in the model.

MSC:

62F03 Parametric hypothesis testing
62J07 Ridge regression; shrinkage estimators (Lasso)
62E15 Exact distribution theory in statistics

Software:

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References:

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